2017考研英语拓展阅读：美国大选预测报道开启
考研英语阅读能力提升需要不断地积累练习，通过阅读来积累词汇量，提升阅读速度和理解能力。冲刺阶段，阅读力度要加大，新东方在线持续分享一些有关政治、经济、文化、生活、体育、科技等方面的文章，大家要多多拓展。下面一篇文章是关于美国大选预测报道开启。2017考研英语拓展阅读：美国大选预测报道开启
Welcome back to The Day in Polls. Republican presidential candidate Donald
Trump continues to close the gap with Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton, with
most polls showing the race narrowing, providing Clinton with a slight lead.
又是一个票选日，共和党总统候选人唐纳德·特朗普继续追赶，与民主党总统候选人希拉里·克林顿的选票差距正在逐渐缩小，克林顿暂以微弱的优势领先。
Trump continues to cut into Clinton’s lead in the Real Clear Politics’s
average of state and national polls. Clinton is 4.3 points ahead of Trump as of
Sunday morning, down from her 4.6-point advantage Saturday and a 5.2-point lead
on Friday. However, both candidates picked up overall support from Saturday,
with 47.6 percent of likely and registered voters expressing support for
Clinton, an 0.3-point increase, and 43.3 percent of voters backing Trump, an
0.8-point jump.
在政治新闻网Real Clear
Politics上，特朗普继续削弱克林顿州和全国票选的主导地位，克林顿在周日上午的领先票数已经下降到了4.3个百分点，在星期五领先了5.2个点，周六则只有4.6个百分点。但是两方候选人从周六开始都得到了全方位的支持，有47.6%的注册选民表示了他们对克林顿的支持，比以往上升了0.3个百分点。特朗普则有43.3%的支持者，猛增了0.8个百分点。
Clinton’s advantage shows erosion in the FiveThirtyEight forecast on
Sunday, as well. The Democratic candidate is down to a 5.2-point lead over
Trump, with 49.4 percent of likely voters supporting her and 44.2 percent
backing Trump. FiveThirtyEight showed a 5.5-point advantage as of Saturday
morning. Also, Clinton has a 78.5 percent chance to win the presidency, down
from an 80.6 percent chance Saturday. Trump also picked up likely Electoral
College votes in the forecast, although FiveThirtyEight still shows Clinton
winning the necessary 270 easily: 319 votes to 218.
克林顿的领先优势也推翻了FiveThirtyEight预测新闻网周日的预言。民主党候选人选票以49.4%领先特朗普5.2个百分点，特朗普的支持率则有44.2%，FiveThirtyEight周六对外公布预测的是5.5个百分点的领先率。同时，克林顿当选总统的机会也从周六的80.6%下降到了78.5%。在这次预测当中说特朗普也有希望获得选举团的投票，尽管FiveThirtyEight仍表示克林顿将会以319：218的优势轻易赢得这270张选举票。
The Upshot’s model may be the most bullish on Clinton’s chances. For the
third straight day, the Upshot predicts Clinton has a 91 percent chance to win
the presidency. However, it also reports Trump holds a 4-point lead in the swing
state of Florida, whose electoral votes are crucial to his path to the White
House.
The
Upshot对克林顿的选举报道应该是最为乐观的。第三次辩论之后，该网站预测克林顿将有91%的可能当选总统。然而它同时也提到特朗普在票数摇摆州佛罗里达的选票中领先了4个点，这对他通往白宫之路至关重要。
The ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll shows just a 1-point race, with
46 percent of likely voters backing Clinton and 45 percent supporting Trump. The
poll incorporated responses to Friday’s announcement that the FBI will continue
to probe Clinton-related emails, with 60 percent of voters saying it will make
no difference in their vote, while 30 percent of likely voters said the news
made them less likely to support Clinton.
ABC新闻/华盛顿邮报的跟踪选票报道预测了仅1个百分点的差距，克林顿以46%的支持率领先了45%的特朗普。这次选票结果是有将对于星期五发布的关于联邦调查局将继续调查克林顿相关邮件事件的回应纳入在内的，60%的选民表示这不会影响他们的投票，但仍有30%的潜在选民表示这次“邮件门”事件使他们对克林顿的支持度有所降低。
Outlier of the day: The USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times "Daybreak" poll
shows Trump leading, 46.2 percent to 43.8 percent, despite not yet incorporating
reactions to the email news. However, the LA Times cautions the poll "probably
represents a best-case scenario for the Republican nominee," as "it more heavily
represents the views of people who did not vote in 2012 but say they plan to
vote this year—a group among whom Trump does well."
离群方：The USC
Dornsife杂志以及《洛杉矶时报》发起的“黎明”票选则公布的是特朗普以46.2%领先克林顿的43.8%，而且还没有受邮件门回应的影响。洛杉矶时报提醒我们这次的选票有可能是对共和党提名人出现的一次最好的情况。因为它很大程度上代表了未参与2012选举投票而称要在今年参与投票的选民的意见，特朗普在他们身上有很大优势。
News From Saturday: Trump and Clinton largely spent Saturday responding to
FBI Director James Comey’s letter to Congress. Trump told supporters in Colorado
that Clinton’s alleged "criminal action was willful, deliberate, intentional and
purposeful," while Clinton said in Florida that Comey’s letter was
"unprecedented, and it’s deeply troubling because voters deserve to get full and
complete facts." She urged Comey to "put it all out on the table."
星期六的消息称：特朗普和克林顿当天对美国联邦调查局局长詹姆斯·科米写给国会的信件做出了回应。特朗普告诉他在科罗拉多州的支持者，克林顿声称“刑事诉讼都是故意的，有目的的”克林顿在佛罗里达州说过，科米的信是“空穴来风，而且惹了很大麻烦，因为选民们应该知道所有的事实和真相”。她主张让科米把所有相关情况都公之于众。
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